Updated 3-14-20. Updated again 3-17-20. By Jason Hommel
1. Test kits don’t work. So they can’t know how many have it. How can we trust the media to truthfully report cases, when the test kits can’t identify cases, and suffer both from false positives and false negatives? The FDA page, and the CDC page, both list problems of false positives and false negatives for the test kits in use. https://www.fda.gov/media/135662/download
I’m going to say that again. It’s important. They don’t know who has coronavirus COVID19. The test kits suffer from false positives and false negatives. The media report cases as if it’s 100% certain. But they can’t know. It’s a guess. At best, an educated guess.
Within 24 hours of when I reported the problems with the test kits, the Whitehouse released statements on 3-11 saying they “have enough test kits”. But that does not address the concern of accuracy. https://www.facebook.com/DonaldTrump/videos/499769287385177/
2. Here is a scientific article, saying test kits don’t work.
[Potential false-positive rate among the ‘asymptomatic infected individuals’ in close contacts of COVID-19 patients].
“CONCLUSIONS: In the close contacts of COVID-19 patients, nearly half or even more of the ‘asymptomatic infected individuals’ reported in the active nucleic acid test screening might be false positives.”
I found a scientific report saying the “asymptomatic carriers” might really just be “false positives”. https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/32133832/[Potential_false_positive_rate_among_the_’asymptomatic_infected_individuals’_in_close_contacts_of_COVID_19_patients]_
2A: Why might the test kits not work and give false positives? Even if the test kits could detect the virus, or viral DNA, the fact is that 10% of the human genome IS viral DNA. It could be detecting us. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/11/161128151050.htm “Nearly 10 percent of the human genome is made of bits of virus DNA. For the most part, this viral DNA is not harmful. In some cases, scientists are finding, it actually has a beneficial impact.”
3. In China, the numbers of people who “have it” followed a perfect curve, which is statistically impossible, meaning, they “invented” the data on who has it.
The curve of cases in China are “too perfect”. It means it was all a simulation. A hoax. Fraud.
“For context, Goodman says a “really good” r-squared, in terms of public health data, would be a 0.7. “Anything like 0.99,” she said, “would make me think that someone is simulating data. It would mean you already know what is going to happen.”” https://www.barrons.com/articles/chinas-economic-data-have-always-raised-questions-its-coronavirus-numbers-do-too-51581622840
4. Italy just announced that only 2 out of 100 people died “from coronavirus” with no other co morbidity problems (even if we could trust the test kits, which we can not).
Rome, 13 Mar 19:12 – (Agenzia Nova) – There may be only two people who died from coronavirus in Italy, who did not present other pathologies. This is what emerges from the medical records examined so far by the Higher Institute of Health, according to what was reported by the President of the Institute, Silvio Brusaferro, during the press conference held today at the Civil Protection in Rome. “Positive deceased patients have an average of over 80 years – 80.3 to be exact – and are essentially predominantly male,” said Brusaferro. “Women are 25.8 percent. The average age of the deceased is significantly higher than the other positive ones. The age groups over 70, with a peak between 80 and 89 years. The majority of these people are carriers of chronic diseases. Only two people were not presently carriers of diseases “, but even in these two cases, the examination of the files is not concluded and therefore, causes of death different from Covid-19 could emerge. The president of the ISS has specified that “little more than a hundred medical records” have so far come from hospitals throughout Italy.
These are the first minimum detailed data provided so far by the Civil Protection on the causes of death of coronavirus patients. At present, in fact, the authorities are unable to distinguish those who died from the virus, from those who, on the other hand, are communicated daily to the public, but who were mostly carriers of other serious diseases and who, therefore, would not have died from Covid-19. In response to a question from “Agenzia Nova”, in fact, Brusaferro was unable to indicate the exact number of coronavirus deaths. However, the professor clarified that, according to the data analyzed, the great majority of the victims “had serious pathologies and in some cases the onset of an infection of the respiratory tract can lead more easily to death. To clarify this point , and provide real data, “as we acquire the folders we will go further. However, the populations most at risk are fragile, carriers of multiple diseases “. (Rin) © Agenzia Nova – Reproduction reserved
4A. Bloomberg confirms the story: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-those-who-died-from-virus-had-other-illness-italy-says?utm_campaign=pol&utm_medium=bd&utm_source=applenews&fbclid=IwAR0tcRdVnhFZ0EIHCiVWFj9yLL8e6HBEgxe4FV5s6aYVSXpiBGx-vwpcwk8
“More than 99% of Italy’s coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions, according to a study by the country’s national health authority.”
“The Rome-based institute has examined medical records of about 18% of the country’s coronavirus fatalities, finding that just three victims, or 0.8% of the total, had no previous pathology. Almost half of the victims suffered from at least three prior illnesses and about a fourth had either one or two previous conditions.
More than 75% had high blood pressure, about 35% had diabetes and a third suffered from heart disease.”
4B. More on Italy. The overall death rate is not increasing, even with 800 deaths in a day and 650 deaths the next day. But this should increase the death rate if this is a new disease.
“Important reference values include the number of annual flu deaths, which is up to 8,000 in Italy and up to 60,000 in the US; normal overall mortality, which in Italy is up to 2,000 deaths per day; and the average number of pneumonia cases per year, which in Italy is over 120,000.
Current all-cause mortality in Europe and in Italy is still normal or even below-average. ”
5. Here is a report from “thedoctorwithin.com” saying similar things; they can’t know who has it, the test kits don’t work, and they are not even using them, etc. Excerpts, then link:
“No more serious than the flu? How about this: What if all these new cases really are nothing but the flu? Just the normal seasonal flu. Why not? There’s really no solid evidence to support otherwise.
“But wait. The false science gets much worse than that. There’s no evidence the PCR test is even being used at all!
“The answer is: there are simply no standard criteria. for counting cases.
“WHAT IF THERE’S NO CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC AT ALL: EXPERIMENT
“Hold on here. What if there is no epidemic, no new COVID disease at all, and no legitimate testing procedure for counting the “infected“? Let’s just make that hypothesis, and then try to disprove it. Source: